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Chance
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
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Outcomes
16North Korea
3%
Cuba
4%
Saudi Arabia
12%
▲ 1
Lebanon
16%
▲ 1
Afghanistan
3%
Iraq
4%
Pakistan
5%
Syria
7%
Venezuela
12%
Tunisia
6%
Kuwait
7%
Qatar
3%
Indonesia
9%
Malaysia
3%
Bangladesh
3%
▼ 4
Iran
4%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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