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Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Music Vol. $161,223 50 traders

Bad Bunny90%
Drake90%
Harry Styles90%
Ariana Grande90%
$161,223 Vol. Music

Outcomes

28
Chance
A$AP Rocky
10% ▲ 1
Ariana Grande Resolved
90% ▲ 2
Bad Bunny Resolved
90% ▲ 1
Billie Eilish
21% ▼ 2
Doja Cat
15% ▲ 3
Drake Resolved
90%
Ed Sheeran
12%
Future
12% ▼ 1
Harry Styles Resolved
90% ▲ 6
Jack Harlow
18% ▲ 5
Kendrick Lamar
63%
Lil Baby
46%
Luke Combs
17%
Morgan Wallen
60% ▲ 11
Olivia Rodrigo Resolved
90% ▲ 34
Peso Pluma
46%
Playboi Carti
30% ▼ 12
Post Malone
37% ▼ 1
Rihanna
41% ▼ 1
Sabrina Carpenter
49% ▲ 1
SZA
45%
The Weeknd
33% ▲ 3
Travis Scott
17% ▼ 9
Tyler, The Creator
19%
Zach Bryan
28% ▼ 3
Kanye West
3%
Frank Ocean
14%
Mariah Carey
81%

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.

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