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Precipitation in Hong Kong in August?

Science Vol. $1,820 50 traders

650-700mm33%
525-550mm22%
<425mm28%
475-500mm27%
$1,820 Vol. Science

Outcomes

10
Chance
<425mm
25% ▲ 4
425-450mm
7% ▲ 1
450-475mm
4%
475-500mm
25% ▲ 3
500-525mm
20%
525-550mm
27% ▲ 12
550-600mm
16% ▼ 3
600-650mm
3%
650-700mm
30% ▲ 4
700mm+
20% ▼ 17

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This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between August 1 and August 31, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in August 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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