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2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Politics Vol. $269,076 50 traders

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Nathalie Arthaud89%
Marine Le Pen85%
Édouard Philippe84%
$269,076 Vol. Politics

Outcomes

46
Chance
Marine Le Pen
77%
Jordan Bardella
12% ▲ 1
Éric Zemmour
53% ▲ 4
Édouard Philippe
76%
David Lisnard
52% ▼ 4
Xavier Bertrand
4%
Laurent Wauquiez
3%
François Ruffin
27% ▲ 1
Gabriel Attal
32% ▼ 1
Bruno Retailleau
68%
François Hollande
29% ▲ 1
Raphaël Glucksmann
53% ▲ 2
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
86% ▼ 1
Marine Tondelier
32% ▲ 3
Fabien Roussel
76%
Olivier Faure
12% ▲ 4
Dominique de Villepin
26% ▼ 9
Ségolène Royal
6%
François Asselineau
13%
Clémentine Autain
4%
Nicolas Dupont-Aignan
52% ▼ 2
Michel Barnier
2%
Valérie Pécresse
2%
François Bayrou
6% ▲ 1
Élisabeth Borne
1%
Yaël Braun-Pivet
3%
Jean Castex
4%
Gérald Darmanin
6%
Carole Delga
4%
Bernard Cazeneuve
12% ▲ 1
Manuel Bompard
8%
Mathilde Panot
2%
Sarah Knafo
41%
Sébastien Lecornu
9%
Jean-Michel Fauvergue
5%
Nathalie Arthaud
80% ▼ 1
Delphine Batho
2%
Jérôme Guedj
6%
Karim Bouamrane
5%
Michel-Edouard Leclerc
6%
Manuel Valls
4%
Teddy Riner
3%
Matthieu Pigasse
9% ▼ 3
Juan Branco
10% ▼ 1
Philippe de Villiers
7%
Bally Bagayoko
3%

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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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